Senior Demand Forecasting Manager

• Managing the rolling 12-week customer demand forecast for Azure Compute that directly drives compute cluster triggers across Azure regions and availability zones
• The forecast is developed using a combination of live usage telemetry, backlog conversion trends, service launches, other inorganics, etc
• Play a critical role in ensuring accurate regional and AZ level forecast signals to enable timely and efficient capacity delivery for both 1P and 3P workloads
• Monitor forecast consumption versus plan, ensuring alignment with live usage, backlog, and customer onboarding trends
• Report and explain weekly forecast deltas, identifying the drivers of change and associated financial and operational impacts
• Identify regional demand risks and proactively surface mitigation options through alternate AZ or CPU family swaps
• Partner to reconcile short-term consumption patterns with mid-term demand plans
• Collaborate with analytics and tooling teams to automate data ingestion, validation, and visualization of 12-week forecast signals
• Continuously improve forecast accuracy and bias metrics through model enhancements, new telemetry inputs, and process discipline
• Support ad-hoc investigations for demand spikes, large customer onboarding, and cross-regional migrations

• Bachelor's Degree in Computer Science, Engineering, Supply Chain, Information Technology (IT), Business, Operations, Finance, Accounting, Data Science, or related field AND 6+ years supply chain, inventory management or sales operations experience, preferably in planning (demand/supply/forecasting), cloud industry experience, infrastructure, data science, and/or channel management experience OR equivalent experience
• 4+ years of forecasting experience working with Product / Engineering Groups in Cloud / high tech supply chain
• Experience with Advanced Data Modeling & Forecasting Analytics
• Experience building and refining models (using SQL, Python, or R) that simulate capacity demand scenarios, quantify forecast error, and provide actionable insights to improve planning accuracy
• Ability to meet Microsoft, customer and/or government security screening requirements are required for this role
• Microsoft Cloud Background Check: This position will be required to pass the Microsoft Cloud background check upon hire/transfer and every two years thereafter

Proficiency in designing and implementing automation pipelines (e.g., Power BI) that integrate signals across S&OP and S&OE horizons, enabling real-time risk detection, variance tracking, and decision-making at scale