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The Forecasting team at Amgen plays a pivotal role as a strategic partner to Commercial leadership, offering data-backed insights crucial for driving commercial success. As a Senior Manager of US Forecasting, you will contribute significantly to the Obesity pipeline assets, executing and managing discussions with brand leads. The individual in this role will need to skillfully influence and challenge a diverse set of stakeholders from Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access, and Pricing/Contracting, while proficiently understanding the nuances of the particular disease area of interest and markets they support. This role reports to the Director of Forecasting and operates within the broader framework of Commercial Data & Analytics (CD&A).
Job Responsibility:
Ability to build detailed and advanced forecast model (patient, Rx, sales, Rx Based, etc.) projecting units and revenue for obesity pipeline products by indication/regions
Utilize advanced simulation models (e.g., Monte Carlo analysis, statistical trending) to quantify uncertainty
Leverage diverse pharmaceutical data sources and their nuances to enhance forecasting approaches and methodologies
Analyze competitors and market dynamics to inform forecasting models and strategic decisions
Develop an objective brand strategy by integrating insights across multiple functions and capability areas
Act as the key point of contact for brand leads, engaging them in forecasting deliverables
Facilitate discussions and build consensus among stakeholders to establish clear and rigorous worldwide sales expectations for pipeline assets
Support leadership in identifying actionable strategies to maximize Commercial potential, prioritizing risks and opportunities
Provide informed recommendations on product development continuation or discontinuation based on market conditions, financial projections, and strategic goals
Develop and deliver transparent presentations that articulate key variables in the forecast, ensuring comprehensive understanding for decision-makers
Utilize communication and interpersonal skills to influence leadership on recommended courses of action
Collaborate with the broader CD&A organization to integrate comprehensive insights and analytics knowledge into forecast development
Enhance the depth and accuracy of forecasts by leveraging a broad spectrum of insights across the organization
Drive productivity and efficiency by streamlining forecasting processes where possible
Requirements:
Doctorate degree
Or Master’s degree and 2 years of experience in Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, and/or supply chain management
Or Bachelor’s degree and 4 years of experience in Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, and/or supply chain management
Or Associate’s degree and 8 years of experience in Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, and/or supply chain management
Or High school diploma / GED and 10 years of experience in Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, and/or supply chain management
Nice to have:
Ability to quickly establish credibility with and influence ED/VP level staff
Knowledge and experience working with industry internal and secondary data sources
experience doing analog and uptake curve analysis
Proficiency in advanced forecasting techniques, statistical modeling, and data analysis
Highly skilled in working collaboratively in a team-based environment and gaining alignment across an organization
High level of proficiency in Excel, PowerPoint, Word
Excellent communication skills with the ability to present complex data and insights to both technical and non-technical stakeholders
Ability to interpret and analyze data trends, identify patterns, and make data-driven decisions
Experience in contributing to the development of long-term business plans based on forecasting insights
What we offer:
A comprehensive employee benefits package, including a Retirement and Savings Plan with generous company contributions, group medical, dental and vision coverage, life and disability insurance, and flexible spending accounts
A discretionary annual bonus program, or for field sales representatives, a sales-based incentive plan