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This is an exceptional opportunity for a developing professional to independently tackle complex challenges, integrate deep specialized knowledge, and drive critical financial forecasting initiatives for a significant mortgage and retail bank portfolio. Join our cutting-edge Loss / Reserve Forecasting and Stress Testing team and contribute to the financial stability and strategic direction of a global leader in financial services. Our team is at the forefront of Credit risk management, responsible for meticulously calculating and managing credit losses/reserves and strategic planning and forecasts. We collaborate closely with multiple teams to construct robust forecasts for credit losses and loan loss reserves under diverse macro-economic and business conditions. This role offers the chance to make a tangible impact by ensuring sound financial projections and contributing to key regulatory compliance efforts.
Job Responsibility
Lead Forecasting & Stress Testing: Drive the execution of quarterly loss/loan loss reserve forecasting and stress testing processes (e.g., CCAR, QMMF, Recovery Plan) for US mortgage and retail bank portfolios
Enhance Model Validation & Integrity: Actively participate in the review and challenge of existing models and their outputs
Strategic Policy Analytics: Conduct sophisticated risk policy analytics to quantify the impact of credit, business, and regulatory policies on loss performance
Advanced Econometric Analysis: Perform in-depth econometric analysis to estimate and articulate the influence of changing macro-economic trends on key performance indicators
Data-Driven Insights & Automation: Understand and analyze the key drivers of losses and loan loss reserves
Cross-Functional Collaboration: Partner with Risk and Finance organizations to optimize data sourcing, definition, extraction, and utilization processes
Process Optimization & Innovation: Identify and champion opportunities for process efficiencies through automation (using Python, VBA, SAS, Tableau)
Stakeholder Engagement & Communication: Present complex analytical findings and strategic recommendations to managers, key stakeholders, senior management, and various review, challenge, and audit teams
Ethical Risk Management: Consistently assess and mitigate risk in all business decisions
Requirements
10+ years of progressive experience in financial services, business analytics, or management consulting, with a strong emphasis on quantitative analysis
A post-graduate degree in a quantitative discipline such such as Statistics, Mathematics, Economics, Econometrics, Management, Operations Research, or Engineering
Demonstrated proficiency in analytical and automation tools (e.g., Python, SAS, VBA, Tableau) and a keen interest in leveraging AI for enhanced efficiency
Strong understanding of risk management principles
Experience with Loss Forecasting/CECL/ Stress Testing is highly preferred
Knowledge of the mortgage and/or retail bank industry and associated regulatory activities is a significant advantage
Exceptional quantitative aptitude, critical thinking, and problem-solving abilities, with a track record of delivering high-quality results
Excellent written and verbal communication skills, with the ability to articulate complex analytical concepts to diverse audiences
A strong work ethic, a collaborative spirit, and the ability to thrive in both independent and team-oriented environments
Bachelor’s/University degree or equivalent experience, potentially Masters degree