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The Asst. Vice President, Loss Forecasting and Stress Testing role is within the CCAR / QMMF team. This group is specifically tasked with generating and managing the Cost of Credit forecasts (NCL and ACL) under alternate macroeconomic and business scenarios on a $120BN + portfolio. The AVP-CCAR will be responsible for key Risk deliverables North America Cards Cards efforts around Comprehensive Capital Analysis & Review (CCAR/DFAST) and the Quarterly Multi-Scenario Multi-Year Forecasting / Stress Testing exercise for Branded Cards and/or Retail Services and /or PIL portfolios. The person is expected to work hands on as well as collaborate with other team members as well as Modeling, Finance, Risk Policy, Governance, Global CCAR office, and External Auditors, in order to deliver high quality results and presentations.
Job Responsibility:
Collaborate with Risk Modeling, Portfolio and New Account Forecasting, Data and Reporting teams
Be able to independently lead the team through one or multiple of the following: Quarterly / Monthly NCL Outlook / Plan Forecasting Process, Quarterly Allowance for Credit Losses (ACL), Forecasting ACLs, The annual stress testing processes (CCAR, Mid-cycle stress testing, Recovery Plan), and Associated governance activities (Manager Control Assessment, End User Computing, Activity Risk Control Monitoring and its Assessment Units)
Driving continuous process enhancements / standardization and automations for greater efficiencies and accuracy
Provide training within and across teams on best practices for CCAR / QMMF and related regulatory submissions and interactions
Review and challenge existing models, and model outputs to identify areas of improvement relative to portfolio & macro-economic trends
Understand the calculation of reserves, components of P&L, and the impact of CECL on CCAR results besides understanding the synergies between two processes
Partner with Finance team to complete requests on financial planning & CCAR/DFAST results and increased integration of credit risk & PPNR results
Create presentations with supportive analysis, storyboard results, and lead discussions with senior management, Finance heads, Independent Risk
required as part of the business review and effective challenge process
Establish and continually evolve standardized business and submission documentation
Coordinate with Independent Risk and Global CCAR Office, drive centralized reporting requirements, and communicate with Auditors and Regulators
Partner with Risk and Finance organization to understand sources of data and continue to improve the process of defining, extracting and utilizing data
Identify areas of improvement in BAU and drive process efficiency through process simplification and automation (VBA, SAS, etc.)
Manage information controls (version control, central results summary) to meet business objectives with utmost clarity and least confusion
Requirements:
Minium Bachelors, preferably Masters Degree, in a quantitative field
7+ years of work experience in financial services or management consulting
Strong understanding of risk management
Knowledge of credit card industry and key regulatory activities (CCAR) are a plus
Understanding of forecasting models
CCAR / DFAST execution and submission experience
Broad understanding of overall business model and key drivers of P&L
In depth experience in using analytical packages, SAS, Smartview, datacube/Essbase, MS Office (Excel, Powerpoint)
Vision and ability to provide innovative solutions to core business practices
Ability to develop partnerships across multiple business and functional areas
Strong written and oral communication skills
Nice to have:
Knowledge of credit card industry and key regulatory activities (CCAR) are a plus
Understanding of forecasting models with be considered a significant advantage
CCAR / DFAST execution and submission experience is will also provide a significant advantage