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Growth Data Scientist

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Kalshi

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Location:
United States , New York

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Contract Type:
Not provided

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Salary:

200000.00 - 250000.00 USD / Year

Job Description:

Kalshi is seeking a Senior Data Scientist to own and define the company’s Customer Lifetime Value (LTV) framework as a core strategic input to growth and product decisions. This individual will ensure LTV reflects durable, structural drivers of customer value - not short-term seasonality or promotional noise. They will serve as Kalshi’s authority on long-term value, building models that generalize across geographies and regulatory environments, and translating nuanced analysis into clear guidance for leadership as the company scales.

Job Responsibility:

  • Design LTV models that capture structural—not just seasonal—value
  • Separate long-term signal from short-term promotions and seasonality
  • Model retention and monetization dynamics that persist across cycles
  • Stress-test models across cohorts launched in different macro and regulatory regimes
  • Incorporate high-granularity features
  • Build user- and cohort-level models that account for geography, regulatory or market-specific constraints, behavioral and product-usage signals
  • Explicitly model heterogeneity rather than relying on global averages
  • Ensure durability and generalization
  • Validate models across multiple years, product launches, and seasonal cycles
  • Monitor stability, drift, and cohort aging effects
  • Revisit assumptions as the business and user base evolve
  • Operationalize nuanced LTV
  • Make LTV actionable at different resolutions (user, cohort, geo, channel)
  • Partner with Growth to avoid overfitting CAC decisions to short-term spikes
  • Align with Finance on long-range forecasting assumptions
  • Be the voice of judgment
  • Push back against simplistic or purely seasonal interpretations of value
  • Clearly communicate uncertainty, confidence intervals, and limitations
  • Prevent misuse of early-cohort or promotion-inflated signals

Requirements:

  • 5–8+ years of experience as a Data Scientist in a consumer marketplace with meaningful seasonality
  • Proven ownership of an LTV model that lived in production for multiple years, survived multiple seasonal cycles, and informed real budget, growth, or product decisions
  • Deep experience with cohort-based modeling and survival analysis
  • Deep experience with feature-rich segmentation (geo, behavior, product mix)
  • Deep experience with de-biasing early lifecycle and promotion-heavy data
  • Strong SQL and Python (or R)
  • comfortable working with large-scale feature pipelines
  • Demonstrated ability to explain why a model generalizes—not just that it performs
What we offer:

equity and benefits

Additional Information:

Job Posted:
February 21, 2026

Employment Type:
Fulltime
Work Type:
On-site work
Job Link Share:

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